Beware of all those dire predictions

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webmaster | 06/21/14
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In the late 1970s and early 1980s, the best scientific minds were saying the world would absolutely, positively, without any doubt be out of oil by the turn of the century. Well, the turn of the century came and went, and guess what: The world didn’t run out of oil. In fact, we seem to have more oil than ever.

In the 1970s, John Holdren, one of President Obama’s top science advisors, was among those warning of a new ice age. These scientists pushed an idea that would have people in dump trucks spreading soot all over the Arctic to discourage the encroachment of glaciers. Well, now the supposedly top scientists are telling us that not only has the ice age been called off, but we are in for the end of the world as we know it because the climate is getting warmer.

They aren’t sure why the climate’s getting warmer is a bad idea. In the Middle Ages, when the climate was somewhat colder than it is now, according to written records, people in Europe used to pray for warmer weather because glaciers were advancing on them.

A warmer climate has been a blessing, for the most part, making it possible to grow crops farther north than they could be grown previously, thus providing food for people, preventing them from starving.

Which reminds me, some of the greatest minds of the 1960s and 1970s were predicting that most of the people in the world would be starving by the turn of the century because the earth couldn’t possibly support the number of people who were expected to be alive by then.

Well, what do you know: We have more people than were being predicted, and fewer of them are experiencing major hunger than ever before, thanks to farmers.

In the late 1950s and early 1960s, many of the best thinkers were predicting that the majority of the world by now would be communist-run, with centrally directed economies. Well, what do you know: The majority of the world’s economies are based on free markets. Even the major communist economy, China’s, is almost totally dependent on its interactions with the free markets of the world, whose purchases of China-made products, fuel the Chinese economy.

Isn’t it interesting that those who are absolutely sure about what the future will bring are often wrong? Keep that in mind the next time you hear a dire prediction.

 

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